RSS-канал «Marginal REVOLUTION»
Small Steps Toward A Much Better World
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2024-04-23 07:22:19
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Последние новости
Seasonality and the Invention of Agriculture
2024-04-22 21:49 Tyler Cowen
Forthcoming from the QJE, here is a new paper by Andrea Matanga: The Neolithic revolution saw the independent development of agriculture among at least seven unconnected hunter-gatherer populations. I propose that the rapid spread of agricultural techniques resulted from increased climatic seasonality causing hunter-gatherers to adopt a sedentary lifestyle and store food for the season […]
The post Seasonality and the Invention of Agriculture appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Monday assorted links
2024-04-22 19:14 Tyler Cowen
1. Are Indian women stronger relative supporters of Modi? 2. Apple to build on-device AI? 3. The remarkable economic recovery of Sri Lanka?. 4. “UK alcohol-related deaths up one-third on pre-pandemic levels…” (FT) 5. New Cass Sunstein book on campus free speech. 6. The Straussian approach to the new Taylor Swift. 7. Macro Musings podcast […]
The post Monday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Deregulate our universities
2024-04-22 16:54 Tyler Cowen
Take a look at how the number of federal regulations and policies governing research at universities has dramatically increased over the years. This adding an enormous cost of doing research. (Source COGR) pic.twitter.com/ezqAsLUIIj — Denis Wirtz (@deniswirtz) April 20, 2024 Via Matt Yglesias.
The post Deregulate our universities appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Tying the Knot
2024-04-22 14:18 Alex Tabarrok
Dobbs, of course, was the Supreme Court decision saying that the constitution does not provide a right to abortion, thus leading to restrictions on abortion in many states. The pictures is from The Economist, the original paper is here.
The post Tying the Knot appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Arguments that (almost) everyone hates
2024-04-22 08:08 Tyler Cowen
These are usually worth pondering, as at the very least you will learn something. Here is a hate-worthy paragraph from an earlier Bloomberg column of mine: …note that higher real estate prices, to the extent they result from immigrant demands, largely translate into capital gains for homeowners — most of whom are native-born. To be […]
The post Arguments that (almost) everyone hates appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Guinea pig questions
2024-04-21 21:46 Tyler Cowen
If someone demographically normal and not especially at-risk wants to serve as a guinea pig, what is the optimal allocation of that resource? Is there any formal discussion of this question? I know they say “there is always an Effective Altruism blog post,” but is there? Mostly I have medicine and medical experimentation in mind, […]
The post Guinea pig questions appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Sunday assorted links
2024-04-21 19:52 Tyler Cowen
1. Rasheed Griffith reggae playlist. 2. Poland got rid of compulsory homework for grade school. 3. Suicide rate trends for German teen females. 4. Important job ad for finding and cultivating talent in Brazil, no Portuguese required. 5. Plans for the REPO market? 6. Claims about microwave missiles, speculative. 7. Abundance Institute.
The post Sunday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
The game theory of the final round of the Candidates
2024-04-21 19:32 Tyler Cowen
The amazing Gukesh (17 years old!) is half a point ahead with one round remaining today. Three players — Nakamura, Caruana, and Nepo — trail him by half a point. Naka is playing Gukesh, and of course Naka will try to win. But what about Caruana vs. Nepo? Yes, each must try to win (no […]
The post The game theory of the final round of the Candidates appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
What should I ask Alan Taylor?
2024-04-21 10:49 Tyler Cowen
He is one of the greatest of living American historians, here is from Wikipedia: Alan Shaw Taylor (born June 17, 1955) is an American historian and scholar who is the Thomas Jefferson Memorial Foundation Professor of History at the University of Virginia. A specialist in the early history of the United States, Taylor has written extensively about the colonial […]
The post What should I ask Alan Taylor? appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
“The Simple Macroeconomics of AI”
2024-04-21 08:19 Tyler Cowen
That is the new Daron Acemoglu paper, and he is skeptical about its overall economic effects. Here is part of the abstract: Using existing estimates on exposure to AI and productivity improvements at the task level, these macroeconomic effects appear nontrivial but modest—no more than a 0.71% increase in total factor productivity over 10 years. […]
The post “The Simple Macroeconomics of AI” appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
South Africa fact of the day
2024-04-20 22:24 Tyler Cowen
Two economists from the Harvard Growth Lab (Shah and Sturzenegger) estimate that the average transport costs for those who are employed in South Africa is equal to 57% of net wages when time to commute is accounted for. Here is the whole John McDermott tweet storm, in part that is the spatial legacy from the […]
The post South Africa fact of the day appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Saturday assorted links
2024-04-20 19:40 Tyler Cowen
1. Ross Douthat on whether the internet is the enemy of progress (NYT). 2. “This year, Sara and Justin Ilse finished building a floor for their home’s 230-square-foot entryway out of 65,507 pennies.” (WSJ) 3. Commentary on Zuck and Dwarkesh. 4. New open access book on Moonshots and the New Industrial Policy. 5. The decline […]
The post Saturday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Decoupling from China?
2024-04-20 10:02 Tyler Cowen
Maybe, but maybe not: Amid the current U.S.-China technological race, the U.S. has imposed export controls to deny China access to strategic technologies. We document that these measures prompted a broad-based decoupling of U.S. and Chinese supply chains. Once their Chinese customers are subject to export controls, U.S. suppliers are more likely to terminate relations […]
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The politics of *Civil War* (full of spoilers, do not read)
2024-04-20 07:41 Tyler Cowen
I saw the film as having very definite politics, and yes I am aware of the pronouncements of the director — ignore them! I am writing about the movie, what was on the screen. The seceding states — California, Texas, and Florida — all have substantial Latino population segments. The core political message is that […]
The post The politics of *Civil War* (full of spoilers, do not read) appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Dwarkesh interviews Mark Zuckerberg on Llama 3 and more
2024-04-20 00:52 Tyler Cowen
The post Dwarkesh interviews Mark Zuckerberg on Llama 3 and more appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Friday assorted links
2024-04-19 19:32 Tyler Cowen
1. Andrej Karpathy on Llama 3. 2. The PEN awards are on the brink of collapse. 3. These were my fiscal, political and other predictions from 2010. 4. AI is being integrated into social media — now. Social media will change. 5. New Yorker Music critic Alex Ross cites Fischer Black on noise. 6. How […]
The post Friday assorted links appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Why a Housing Shortage Exists Despite More Houses Per Person
2024-04-19 14:19 Alex Tabarrok
When I post about the skyrocketing price of housing and the need to build, commentators (include some of the most astute commentators on MR), will sometimes object by pointing to the increasing and historically high number of houses per capita. They question how this aligns with rising prices and wave vaguely towards factors like monopoly […]
The post Why a Housing Shortage Exists Despite More Houses Per Person appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
What I am nostalgic about
2024-04-19 09:30 Tyler Cowen
With a group of friends I was having a chat about the merits of the current vs. past America. Battle of the Ancients and Moderns! I generally favor current times, but not unconditionally. So I promised them a list of what I missed from the past. To be clear, these are personal judgments, not claims […]
The post What I am nostalgic about appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Response from Devin Pope, on religious attendance
2024-04-19 08:06 Tyler Cowen
All of this is from Devin Pope, in response to Lyman Stone (and myself). Here was my original post on the paper, concerning the degree of religious attendance. I won’t double indent, but here is Devin and Devin alone: “I’m super grateful for Lyman’s willingness to engage with my recent research on measuring religious worship […]
The post Response from Devin Pope, on religious attendance appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.
Claims about claims (it’s happening)
2024-04-18 20:14 Tyler Cowen
The craziest LLaMA 3 reveal: The 400B+ version of the model is **on par with Claude 3 Opus**, and it's still training. Soon, we'll have a better-than-Opus, fully open-source model. The implications are huge. pic.twitter.com/chaDp7jaCa — Matt Shumer (@mattshumer_) April 18, 2024 Here is from Meta.
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